XRP Poised for Massive Rally: Analyst Predicts $17.5 Target Based on Historical Breakout Pattern

Market analyst EGRAG Crypto has identified a compelling historical pattern in XRP's price action that could signal an imminent parabolic rally. Drawing striking parallels to the 2020/2021 market cycle, where XRP surged an astonishing 592% after breaking through the 21-week exponential moving average (EMA), the analyst suggests the cryptocurrency is now setting up for a similar explosive move. As of July 2025, XRP's current interaction with this critical technical indicator mirrors its behavior prior to the 2021 peak of $1.96, potentially foreshadowing an even more significant price appreciation this cycle. The analyst's bold prediction of a $17.5 price target represents a potential 20x gain from current levels, which would mark one of XRP's most spectacular bull runs in its history. This technical analysis comes at a time when the broader cryptocurrency market is showing renewed strength, with many altcoins beginning to awaken from their prolonged consolidation phases. The 21-week EMA has historically served as a reliable momentum indicator for XRP, with decisive breaks above this level often preceding major price expansions. While past performance doesn't guarantee future results, the symmetry between current price action and previous breakout scenarios provides a compelling case for XRP bulls. Market participants are closely watching whether this technical setup will indeed catalyze the dramatic price movement predicted by EGRAG Crypto's analysis.

Analyst Predicts XRP Rally to $17.5 Based on Historical Pattern

Market analyst EGRAG crypto has identified a recurring pattern in XRP's price action that could signal a significant rally. Drawing parallels to the 2020/2021 cycle, where XRP surged 592% after breaking through the 21-week exponential moving average (EMA), EGRAG suggests a similar setup is unfolding now. The token's current interaction with this key technical level mirrors its behavior before the 2021 peak of $1.96.

Historical data shows XRP struggled for 19 weeks below the 21-week EMA in 2020 before a decisive breakout propelled it to $0.79. This resistance-turned-support level has consistently acted as a springboard for major moves. The analyst's $17.5 target represents an ambitious but technically grounded projection based on the fractal repetition of this pattern.

Judge Torres Rejects Ripple-SEC Settlement Motion, Revealing Deeper Tensions

Judge Analisa Torres has denied a joint motion by Ripple and the SEC to modify the court's prior judgment, signaling frustration over the prolonged litigation. Legal analyst Fred Rispoli interprets the rejection as a pointed critique of both parties' conduct. "Welcome to the new SEC—for now, more or less the same as the last one," he remarked, highlighting the agency's failure to address its past enforcement approach.

The decision exposes unresolved tensions in the 4.5-year legal battle over XRP. Rispoli suggests political undercurrents may influence the court's stance, particularly regarding Trump-era regulatory policies. Neither party adequately justified why the court should revise its previous characterization of Ripple's conduct as "egregious." The SEC's submission appeared particularly lackluster—"This crappy motion on SEC letterhead is the best I can offer," Rispoli quipped, comparing it to a lowball pawn shop offer.

Ripple CEO Hails XRP Ledger 2.5.0 as Landmark Upgrade

RippleX has launched rippled version 2.5.0, delivering transformative enhancements to the XRP Ledger. CEO Brad Garlinghouse championed the update as a pivotal evolution for the XRP ecosystem, emphasizing its global implications.

The upgrade introduces TokenEscrow support for IOUs and tokenized assets, enabling sophisticated conditional payment structures. Batch processing now allows atomic execution of multiple operations, while PermissionedDEX caters to regulated decentralized exchange requirements.

This release marks a strategic inflection point in XRP Ledger development, prioritizing performance optimization and regulatory adaptability. Network validators must upgrade promptly to maintain compatibility as new amendments await consensus activation.

XRP Price Volatility Follows Judge Torres' Rejection of Ripple-SEC Motion

XRP faced immediate market turbulence after Judge Analisa Torres denied a joint motion from Ripple and the SEC, triggering a 5% price drop to $2.09 before a partial recovery. The token's technical outlook remains bearish, characterized by a pattern of lower highs and lows.

Critical resistance sits at $2.20—a decisive breakout could propel XRP toward $2.35, while failure to hold $2.05 support risks a decline to $1.95. Market sentiment mirrors the legal uncertainty, with traders awaiting clearer signals from both the courtroom and price action.